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Ch. 1 SCIENTIFIC PREDICTIONS & Global Warming HURRICANE Forecasts SEA LEVEL & The Seven Metre Surge Ch.2 GLOBAL WARMING and COOLING The Greenland Ice Cap The Vostok Ice Core Ch. 3 CARBON DiOXIDE & the Grenhouse Effect Ch. 5 GLOBAL DOOMSDAY Beyond CO² The Population Explosion
Your Comments are Invited comment @globalwarming-eh.ca Ch. 1 SCIENTIFIC PREDICTIONS & Global Warming HURRICANE Forecasts SEA LEVEL & The Seven Metre Surge Ch.2 GLOBAL WARMING and COOLING The Greenland Ice Cap The Vostok Ice Core Ch. 3 CARBON DiOXIDE & the Grenhouse Effect Ch. 5 GLOBAL DOOMSDAY Beyond CO² The Population Explosion
Your Comments are Invited comment @globalwarming-eh.ca |
Ch. 4 Global Warming... Fact or Fancy? o A series of doomsday-like ‘scientific’ reports in 2007 and beyond, from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), lent credence to the previously nebulous concept of Global Warming by making extreme predictions of melting sea-ice, flooded coastal areas and a super-heated world to beset us several thousands years from now. Closer reading of the ‘fine print’ in the reports revealed less terrifying predictions that Global Warming might amount to 0.09°C (9/100 of one degree) in this century, or maybe 4.4°C or possibly 6.4°C, depending on which of several computer-generated climate models you favor. Those less hysterical, though highly flexible forecasts, in the time frame of a hundred years, may or may not be more relevant to the here and now, but the media has chosen to focus on the catastrophic predictions for the far distant future; despite their resemblance to science-fiction more than real science. A seven metre surge in sea level (23 ft.) makes a far more gripping headline than a 0.09° temperature change in a century. Professor Richard Lindzen of the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, has been quoted as saying “Future generations will wonder in bemused amazement, that in the early 21st century, the developed world went into hysterical panic over a globally averaged temperature increase of a few tenths of a degree; and on the basis of grossly exaggerated and highly uncertain computer projections, combined into an implausible chain of inference, proceeded to contemplate a rollback of the industrial age. Some renowned mathematicians go further, and challenge not only the average temperatures calculated for the planet, but the methodology used to calculate them as well. Given the impossibility of simultaneously recording the temperature at every point on Earth at a given moment in time, it seems reasonable to question the process. While the current sampling method is an interesting mathematical exercise, it is open to challenge and the results might be considered dubious. It’s something like trying to calculate the average color presented by a rotating kaleidoscope. Dr. Christopher Essex, Profesor of Applied Mathematics at the University of Western Ontario, contends that there is no such thing as an average global temperature. He compares the method of generating such an average to the meaningless process of averaging telephone numbers. Similarly it has been pointed out that a cup of coffee at 160°F, placed on a block of ice with a temperature of 20°F, does not yield an average temperature for the two. The mathematical average of the two numbers, 90°F, has no relevance to the ice which would be water, or to the coffee which would be unpalatable slop. Scientific studies by Professor Timothy Patterson, director of Ottawa-Carlton Geoscience Centre, Department of Earth Sciences at Carlton University, raise important challenges to current climate-change hype. Climate stability has never been a feature of planet Earth, according to Professor Patterson His studies are consistent with the findings by hundreds of unbiased scientists, showing that change is the only constant factor in Earth’s climate. At times in the past it has been warmer and sometimes it has been cooler. Records indicate that six thousand years ago it was about 3 Celsius degrees warmer than it is now (about 5.5 Fahrenheit degrees). A lengthy cold period followed; then ten thousand years ago, temperatures rose as much as 6°C (11° F) in a decade. That is ten times more than the much-touted rise of 0.6°C in the past century, which has contributed to the current environmental frenzy. Evidence in the Vostok ice core shows that such long-term climate changes are normal, while the well-known “Schwabe” eleven year sunspot cycle is also known to plays a part in short-term fluctuations. Dr. Hans Storch, a prominent climatologist, contends that the current predictions of doom are hysterical and idiotic. He points out that many ‘scientific’ pronouncements on the subject of climate change are bereft of merit. According to Dr. Storch writing in Der Spiegel, Global warming theories have left the laboratory and become the stuff of Hollywood. He reminds us to consider how wrong some dire forecasts have been in the past. Despite the current welter of vague, confusing and contradictory opinions and indications, Global Warming has now become flavor-of-the-month and darling of he media. The bandwagon is on a roll, and the me-too multitude has enthusiastically climbed aboard. It has become almost unacceptable, and is certainly unfashionable to challenge the ominous predictions of Global Warming disaster. Faced with the necessity of reacting to such predictions, practical people in the media appear to have realized the difficulty in trying to peddle Global Warming when the northern hemisphere is in the grip of severe winter. Accordingly, with perhaps more marketing smarts than the myopic scientists, media folks subtly changed the mantra from Global Warming to Climate Change, or as the Toronto Star puts it, Extreme Weather Alert, or as the Globe and Mail chose for the title of a feature series, New Climate. Politicians likewise embraced that politico-speak with great alacrity. The Liberal Party of Canada campaigned on a platform of “Green Shift” with disastrous results, but “Green’ is still in vogue with politicians. Meanwhile, Al Gore, former Vice President of he United States has made a new career from being ‘Green’ and now speaks ominously of Climate Crisis, even as he plays fast and loose with the facts. Perhaps all this sound and fury will do nothing more than scare the bejeebers out of everyone, but perhaps also, if increased CO2 and harm from Global warming are linked, it may lead to increased awareness of a fundamental problem that besets the globe, but which we are reluctant to face. That problem is the destructive burden of human beings on the planet, that increases exponentially day by day and year by year, with each one of us helping to hasten our collective demise just by being what we are and doing what we must do. The fact is that More People = More Human Activity. More of that = More strain on Earth’s ability to cope. More of the same puts humans on a Race to Oblivion
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