'SCIENTIFIC'
Predictions
The
LAPSE RATE
and Skepticism
COAL
a Burning
Issue
OIL
Slip Sliding
to Exhaustion
HURRICANES
Disasters and
Forecasts
GREENLAND'S
Ice Cap
Melting or Not
SEA LEVEL
& The Seven
Metre Surge
The
LAPSE RATE
and Skepticism
Ch. 3
CARBON
DiOXIDE
& the
Grenhouse
Effect
Ch. 4
CLIMATE
CHANGE
Fact or Fancy
Ch. 5
GLOBAL
DOOMSDAY
Beyond CO²
The Population
Explosion
The
LAPSE RATE
and Skepticism
COAL
a Burning
Issue
OIL
Slip Sliding
to Exhaustion
HURRICANES
Disasters and
Forecasts
GREENLAND'S
Ice Cap
Melting or Not
SEA LEVEL
& The Seven
Metre Surge
The
LAPSE RATE
and Skepticism
The VOSTOK
Ice Core
Your Comments
are Invited
comment @globalwarming-eh.ca

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'SCIENTISTS' PREDICT an IMPENDING ICE AGE
In September, 1979, then President Carter, responding
to the global cooling crisis, signed into law in the USA,
the Climate Control Program Act, to predict the climate
and combat Global Cooling.
Death by Frostbite
In the 1970 edition of Encyclopedia Britannica, it is recorded
that in early geological times, Earth's normal temperature was comparatively
warm, with few temperature extremes. Polar latitudes were cool, with open seas.
Britannica reported further that around the year 1550, glaciers began to grow
and advanced steadily until a warm-up commenced in the mid 1880s. That warming
continued until 1940, with Arctic ice retreating several hundred miles. Then
Earth's temperatures again began to fall. Cooling continued for some years, and
glaciers grew once more until the 1970s. Winter in 1962-63
was the coolest in four centuries in the northern hemisphere.
By the mid 1970s, 'scientists' were sounding
the alarm about Global Cooling. In April, 1975,
Newsweek magazine published an article titled
"The Cooling World," spelling out the grim
predictions of a frigid future.
The impact of Global Cooling, it was said, would be most severe on agriculture
industries. Wheat growing countries would be especially hard hit. The world's
food supply was forecast to drop significantly in as little as ten years.
That would have been by 1985, just twenty five years ago. The growing
season in England was said to have shrunk by two weeks from 1950 onward,
due to the increasing cold.
Underscoring those chilling predictions, a 1974 survey by the National Oceanic
and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) reported a half-degree drop in the northern
hemisphere's temperature in the twenty-three years between 1945 and 1968.
That's about .022° per year.
Two NOAA scientists reported on a study that concluded sunshine in the USA
diminished by 1.3% between 1964 and 1972. Dr.George Kukla of Columbia
University reported that satellite photos showed a sudden increase in snow
cover in the northern hemisphere during the 1971-2 winter.
Along with Robert Matthews of Brown University, Dr.Kukla convened an
international conference that reached a consensus on the cooling crisis,
prompting them to warn then President Nixon of the climate deterioration,
said to be worse than anything that civilized mankind had ever experienced.
The cooling was compared to that which
brought on the last ice age, and a severe
winter in 1976-7 reinforced the prophesies
of Earth's impending doom.
The seemingly scientific validity of those
predictons, moved President Carter to sign
the Climate Control Program Act into law
to combat Global Cooling.
Significantly, the concentration of carbon dioxide (CO²) in the atmosphere
at that time was 335 parts per million (ppm). The current level, 380 ppm,
is a mere 45 ppm above that, well within the range of past variations.
Historically, fluctuations of 45 ppm or more in atmospheric CO² have occurred frequently over various periods of time.
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vostok
The Vostok Ice Core
In 1988, the United States, Russia and France collaborated in an ice-drilling
project at the Russian Vostok base in East Antarctica and recovered an ice-core from
the deepest level ever reached up to that time. Scientific examination of that core revealed a
record of Earth's climate for the
past 400,000 years, and defined four major climate cycles during that period.
Four times, at intervals of approximately 100,000 years, Earth's temperature peaked at
about 3° to 4°C (37 to 39° F) then fell again to lows of minus eight
to minus nine C (-8 to -9°C) or 16 to 18° F.
Coincidentally, the concentration of CO² in
the atmosphere rose and fell synchronously
with those temperature fluctuations. Four
times as the temperature peaked in those
100,000 year cycles, the CO² level topped
out at around 300 ppm, and four times as
the temperature bottomed, the CO² level
dropped to about 180.
Within each of those 100,000 year cycles, there were repetitive shorter oscillations
of both CO² and temperature, in lockstep. Those oscillations were often as great as
55% of the overall fluctuation range and variations in carbon dioxide levels were often
as much as 60ppm. That is about the same as the change we've seen in the past fifty years.
Just as the Vostok ice core revealed the
parallel between temperature and the CO²
fluctuations, it also indicated that the rising
and falling temperature may have led the
rise and fall in CO² by about 800 years in
each cycle.
Thus if there is cause and effect between atmospheric CO² and temperature, it appears
that temperature changes cause CO² changes, rather than vice verse, so
the present focus on carbon dioxide as the culprit would seem to be misdirected.
Even if some would debate that however,
one thing is certain; Earth's atmospheric
temperature and CO² fluctuations over
those 400,000 years were not man-made
 
(or anthropogenic, as scientists say.) We
were not even here in any numbers until
about 60,000 years ago.
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Variations in Atmospheric CO² (ppm-v) --- red scale
and Antarctic Temperature °C --- blue scale
for 400,000 years prior to 1950.
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